Friday, December 17, 2010

So, What’s The 2011 Car Count?

Before anything, I want to extend my condolences to the family and friends of John Anderson, who passed away yesterday. You'll be hard-pressed to find an unkind or disparaging word in regards to him.

After the most welcome news regarding Graham Rahal (Alleged Tweet: “Super-excited for new team! Also, going to the ice cream social tonite! Willikers!”) and Charlie Kimball, the most awesome conqueror of diabetes outside of this man, Silly Season is beginning to firm up a bit more. Sure, there’s still more musical chairs going than anyone would like, but I think we’re ahead of where we were last year on know precisely what’s going on.

With that said, here’s my current, just-for-fun estimations of our 2011 car count, not counting entries running less than half the schedule, one-offs, etc. There will likely be a few more of those, especially towards the tail-end of the season. This number will be tweaked a little bit as we get into the New Year, but here’s the current seats I am feeling at least pretty good about:

Andretti Autosport (4)
1) Ryan Hunter-Reay
2) Danica Patrick
3) Ryan Hunter-Reay
4) _______________
That Mysterious Fourth Seat began as sort of a quiet rumble, but seems much louder now. I guess we’ll see, but I’m getting a hunch Andretti will get to four.

Team Penske (3)
1) Helio Castroneves
2) Ryan Briscoe
3) Will Power

Target-Chip Ganassi (2)
1) Scott Dixon
2) Dario Franchitti

Novo Nordisk & Service Central Chip Ganassi (2)
1) Charlie Kimball
2) Graham Rahal

This man beat the 'beetus.
What chance does IndyCar have?

Dreyer & Reinbold Racing (2)
1) Justin Wilson
2) _______________
There will be 2 DRR cars in ’11.

FAZZT Racing (2)
1) Alex Tagliani
2) Ho-Pin Tung
I’m not completely sold on Tung for that 2nd seat, but enough people I respect seem to think it will happen that I can’t discount it.

Foyt Racing (1)
1) Vitor Meira

Sarah Fisher Racing (1)
1) Ed Carpenter
Right now, a partial season, but I still think they pick up a few more races.

HVM (1)
1) Simona de Silvestro

Panther Racing (1)
1) J.R. Hildebrand
Panther Racing 2011: Punching Hitler Between Races

Dale Coyne Racing (1)
1) _______________
Hope it’s Alex Lloyd.

De Ferran Dragon (1)
1) Tony Kanaan
Not quite a done deal yet, but close enough for me to believe in it.

Newman-Haas (1)
1) _______________
I can’t believe 2 at Newman-Haas until I see it, probably because I’d love both Hinchcliffe and Servia to show up there. I’ll stick with one car there for now.

Conquest (2)
1) _______________
2) _______________
Bertrand Baguette has to be one of the two. We can’t lose that name, people.

KV Racing Technology (3)
1) EJ Viso
2) _______________
3) _______________
Sato seems likely to return. Not sure on Moraes. It’d be nice if someone a little more mature and seasoned got the last seat.

There’s a lot more speculation: Walker Racing, a 4th KVRT car, a 3rd at DRR, etc., etc., but I’m not ready to sign onto that yet. But that’s how currently getting my estimate of 26-28 regular cars. What becomes really interesting is when you take the names of the unsigned (Wheldon, Tracy, Scheckter, Servia, etc.), and see where they fit in. It stinks when you know there’s not quite room for everyone you’d like to see, but I still think it’s going to be a pretty talented field in 2011.

EDIT: It looks like Curt Cavin and I arrived at the same numbers!


  1. 26-28 cars would be a solid car count, and it does look like you pretty much nailed it! I think what will be interesting of the veteran drivers that don't find rides is how all of them will fall into the one-offs when May rolls around.

  2. Wheldon's likely at Andretti, according to Cavin. And someone translated something that said Saadevra is joining Baugatte at Conquest, so I assume then Vernay will be at either Rahal/Letterman/Lanigain or 3rd DDR or 2nd Coyne. 2011 should be a big year, but 2012 may be slightly down, although not by a lot, especially if cars are cheaper